Crypto Arbitrage for Dummies

Crypto Arbitrage for Dummies


In 2014, the National Australia Bank closed accounts of businesses with ties to bitcoin,141 and HSBC refused to serve a hedge fund with links to bitcoin.142 Australian banks in general have been reported as closing down bank accounts of operators of businesses involving the currency.143

Plans were announced to include a bitcoin futures option on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in 2017.144 Trading in bitcoin futures was announced to begin on 10 December 2017.145

The Winklevoss twins have purchased bitcoin. In 2013 The Washington Post reported that a claim that they owned 1% of all of the bitcoins in existence at the time.146

Other methods of investment are bitcoin funds. The first controlled bitcoin fund was created in Jersey in July 2014 and approved by the Jersey Financial Services Commission.147

In 2013 and 2014, the European Banking Authority148 and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), a United States self-regulatory organization,149 warned that investing in bitcoins carries significant risks. Forbes named bitcoin that the best investment of 2013.150 In 2014, Bloomberg named bitcoin one of its worst investments of the calendar year.151 In 2015, bitcoin topped Bloomberg's currency tables.152.

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According to bitinfocharts.com, in 2017 there are 9,272 bitcoin wallets with more than $1 million worth of bitcoins.153 The exact number of bitcoin millionaires is uncertain as a single person can have more than one bitcoin wallet.

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Venture capitalists, for example Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, which invested US$3 million in BitPay, do not buy bitcoins themselves, but instead fund bitcoin infrastructure that offers payment methods for merchants, exchanges, wallet services, etc.154 In 2012, an incubator for bitcoin-focused start-ups was founded by Adam Draper, with financing help from his father, venture capitalist Tim Draper, one of the largest bitcoin holders after winning an auction of 30,000 bitcoins,155 at the time referred to as"mystery buyer".156 The company's goal is to fund 100 bitcoin businesses within 23 years using $10,000 to $20,000 for a 6 percent stake.155 Investors also invest in bitcoin mining.157 According to a 2015 study by Paolo Tasca, bitcoin startups increased almost $1 billion in 3 years (Q1 2012 Q1 2015).158.

Bitcoin price bubbles in 2011, 2013 and 2017Priceg (left y-axis, logarithmic scale) and volatilityh (appropriate y-axis).66

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The price of bitcoins has gone view it now through cycles of appreciation and depreciation known by some as bubbles and busts.159 In 2011, the value of one bitcoin quickly rose from approximately US$0.30 to US$32 prior to returning to US$2.160 In the latter half of 2012 and during the 201213 Cypriot financial description catastrophe, the bitcoin price began to rise,161 reaching a high of US$266 on 10 April 2013, before crashing to around US$50.162 On 29 November 2013, the cost of one bitcoin climbed to a peak of US$1,242.163 In 2014, the price dropped sharply, and as of April remained depressed at little more than half of 2013 prices.

According to Mark T. Williams, at 2014update, bitcoin has volatility seven times larger than gold, eight times greater than the S&P 500, and 18 times larger than the US dollar.167

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Because of bitcoin's decentralized nature and its trading on online exchanges situated in many countries, regulation of bitcoin has been challenging. However, the use of bitcoin can be criminalized, and shutting down exchanges and the peer reviewed economy in a given country would constitute a de facto ban.168 The legal standing of bitcoin varies substantially from country to country and remains undefined or changing in many of them.

According to the Library of Congress, an"absolute ban" on trading or using cryptocurrencies applies in eight countries: Algeria, Bolivia, Egypt, Iraq, Morocco, Nepal, Pakistan, and the United Arab Emirates. An"implicit ban" applies in another 15 countries, which include Bahrain, Bangladesh, China, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, Indonesia, Iran, Kuwait, Lesotho, Lithuania, Macau, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Taiwan.170.

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Seventeen other countries have comparable AML requirements.170 As of 2018update U.S. FinCEN receives greater than 1,500 SARs a month involving cryptocurrencies.171

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has issued four"Customer Advisories" for bitcoin and relevant investments.14 A July 2018 warning highlighted that trading in any cryptocurrency is often speculative, and there is a risk of theft against hackingfraud and fraud.172 A February 2018 advisory warned against investing an IRA fund into virtual currencies.173 A December 2017 advisory warned that virtual currencies are risky because:.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has also issued warnings. A May 2014"Investor Alert" warned that investments involving bitcoin might have elevated rates of fraud, and that investors may be solicited on social media websites.175 An earlier"Investor Alert" warned about the usage of bitcoin in Ponzi schemes.176

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